3 7 8 9 11 12 13 14 15 19 20 21 25 36 56 60 63 64 65
AgMIP Msg:5. With Adaptation to Climate Change (through technology and management), there would be significant decrease in poverty and improvement in the livelihood of farming community             AgMIP Msg:4.If there will be no adaptation to Climate Change, majority of farmers would be the economic losers             AgMIP Msg:3.Climate Change will affect the crop yields negatively (about 17% for rice and 14 % for wheat)             AgMIP Msg:2.There would be significant variability in rainfall patterns (about 25% increase in summer & 12% decrease in winter during 2040-2069)             AgMiP Msg:1. There would be significant increase in temperature i.e., 2.8°C in day and 2.2°C in the night during mid-century (2040-2069)             Scientists warn of horrifying impacts on Pakistan’s food system if climate changes not tackled urgently - TNS             Soil fertility may be enhanced with bio-char - Business Recorder             Regional Research and Coordination Team Mid-Term South Asia workshop - Pakistan Agriculture Information System             Climate changes affecting people, agriculture - Dawn.com             World temperatures can go up 2 degrees by 2050 - The Express Tribune             Climate changes affecting people, agriculture - Dawn.com             Climate change threat to agri productivity, water resources - Pakistan Observe             Report on ‘Work Programme for Climate Change’ launched - The News             Adapting to survive – the climate challenge - The Technology Times             Resilient agriculture, water reservoirs crucial for Pakistan - scientists - Thomson Reuters Foundation             Climate change poses threats to agrarian countries - The News             Pakistan is in severe grip of climate change - Business Recorder             Pakistan ranks eighth among climate changes-hit countries - Dawn.com             Pakistan extremely vulnerable due to climate change - Express Tribune            

AgMIP Introduction


Wheat, rice and cotton are major crops in Pakistan not only in terms of local consumption but also in view of large exports. These crops are grown on approximately 8.81, 2.37 and 2.69 million hectares of land respectively, with a total production of 24.2 million tons of wheat, 4.8 million tons of rice, and 11.5 million bales of cotton. These crops are grown in different agro-ecological zones of Pakistan. Each zone represents diverse soil, social, hydrological and climatic conditions.

The overall goal of the project is the analysis of historic/current climate, as well as crop and economic data to determine the trends of climate change in the region and its likely impact on crop productivity and the economy. This includes calibration and validation of crop models for wheat, rice and cotton, regional economic models, as well as quantification of the spatial and temporal yield variability and yield forecasting under future climate change scenarios

Key Messages

01 There would be significant increase in temperature i.e., 2.8°C in day and 2.2°C in the night during mid-century (2040-2069)
02 There would be significant variability in rainfall patterns (about 25% increase in summer & 12% decrease in winter during 2040-2069)
03 Climate Change will affect the crop yields negatively (about 17% for rice and 14 % for wheat)
04 If there will be no adaptation to Climate Change, majority of farmers would be the economic losers
05 With Adaptation to Climate Change (through technology and management), there would be significant decrease in poverty and improvement in the livelihood of farming community

(Agricultural Model Inter-comparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Pakistan 2012-2014)

 



Project Objectives


  1. To develop climate change scenarios for the region.
  2. Evaluation of DSSAT and APSIM models for simulating phenology, growth and yield of crops under different ecological zones.
  3. To estimate the impacts of future changing climate and economic scenarios on crop production and benefits to stakeholders in the region.
  4. Selection of best management options (package of production technology) for economically efficient production of crops using the model under the changing climatic and soil conditions of different agro-ecological zones of Punjab, Pakistan.
  5. To find out the flaws in the models simulations and correction measures to improve them.

Recently Released


Meeting for Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs), Future Pathways for Cotton-Wheat Cropping System under changing Climate Scenarios was held at STC Hall, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad on 8th April 2016, 10 am

Integration workshop on “Regional Integrated Assessments of Farming Systems in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia” from February 22 to February 27, 2016 in Dakar, Senegal

Consultative Session to Develop Adaptation Package and to Refine the key Messages from AgMIP Phase-1 on 28 Jan, 2016 at STC Hall, UAF

Consultative Session for Refining the AgMIP Phase-I Key Messages on 26 Jan, 2016 at Ayub Agricultural Research Institute, Faisalabad

Workshop on “DSSAT Training” from December 7 to December18, 2015 in Turky

International workshop on "Climate Change Resilient Agriculture Systems" from November 30 to December 4, 2015 at University of Agriculture, Faisalabad (UAF), Pakistan organized by Climate Change Chair (CCC), US-Pakistan Advanced Studies in Agriculture and Food Security (US-PCAS-AFS) in collaboration with Asian Productivity Organization (APO, Tokyo, Japan) and National Productivity Organization (NPO, Pakistan)

AgMIP-Pakistan Kickoff Workshop Phase-II & International Seminar on "Risk Management in Agriculture" held at New Senate Hall, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad on November 28, 2015

Agricultural Model Inter-comparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP-Pakistan) is organizing one day seminar on "Climate Change and Food Security: the Emerging Issues and Possible Solutions" in collaboration with Pakistan Meteorological Department, Islamabad and Water Environment Forum, Pakistan on October 16, 2015

Farmer’s Meeting AgMIP Phase-II Cotton Wheat Cropping System at Multan on October, 8 2015

Presentation of AgMIP Pakistan results on the conference "Capability building/training workshop for all District officers agricultural extersion and assistant director agriculture Plant Pathology in the Punjab Pakistan" at Ayub Agriculture Research Institute Faisalabad on September 19, 2015

A meeting was held with policy markers at Lahore Secretariat, Punjab for the refining Phase 1 Key Messages on August 26, 2015

AgMIP Pakistan in Collaboration with Climate Change Chair under U.S.-Pakistan Center for Advance Studies in Agriculture and Food Security (USPCAS-FSA) organized training workshop on "Decision Support System for Agro-Technology Transfer (DSSAT)" on August 18 to Auguest 19, 2015 at University of Agriculture Faisalabad

Second Meeting for Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs), future pathways for cotton-wheat farming system of Punjab under changing climate scenario meeting was held at University of Agriculture, Faisalabad on August 11, 2015

A meeting on "Promoting climate resilience in the rice sector of Pakistan" held on August 3, 2015 at University of Agriculture, Faisalabad

First Meeting for Respresentative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) development for the cotton-wheat farming system of Punjab was held at University of Agriculture, Faisalabad on June 18, 2015

Stakeholder/Farmers meeting was held at Gujranwala on June 11, 2015

AgMIP - Pakistan participated in International Worldwide View on Climate and Energy on June 6, 2015 joinlty organized by SDPI and UAF at COMSATS, Islamabad

International conference on climate change issues and conference of parties (COP 21) held on May 19, 2015 at 9:30, New Senate Hall, UAF

International conference on Himalayan adaptation, water and Resilience (HI-AWARE) research on glacier and snowpack dependent river basins for improving livelihoods held on May 11,2015 at 11:00 am, New Senate Hall, UAF

USAID Funded Center for Advanced Studies in Food Security - Agriculture (CAS - FSA) A Stakeholder consultative conference on Research Agenda Development Organized by Climate Change Chair (CCC), UAF on February 21, 2015

International Training Workshop of Crop Reporting Service (CRS) on GLAM MAGIS and NDVI Relationship with Crop Yield under the Project titled "Building Provincial Capacity for Crop Estimated, Forecasting and Reporting based on the Integral Use of Remotely Sensed Data - GCP/PAK/125/USA" from February 19 to February 23, 2015

International Seminar on “Global Change and Pakistan Perspective” on September 16, 2014 at New Senate Hall, UAF, Pakistan

Mid Term Workshop & International Seminar on Climate Change Adaptation Strategies to Ensure Food Security from January 16 to January 17, 2014 at New Senate Hall, UAF, Pakistan

South Asia Regional Research and Coordination Team Mid-Term Workshop from July 22 to July 26, 2013 in Kathmandu, Nepal

AgMIP-Pakistan Kickoff Workshop & International Seminar on “Climate Change” from June 4 to 6, 2013 in Faisalabad-Pakistan

AgMIP South Asia Regional Project Kickoff Workshop from November 12 to November 16, 2012 in Colombo, Sri Lanka